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One of the things to learn out of the terroristic attacks in Mumbai last week is that the war on terrorism has changed again. From the individual muslim terrorist, who had been brainstormed enough to pull a string or push a button in order to take himself - in a lot of bits and pieces - together with as many as possible Western infidels to his creator who would be waiting for him in order to give him a handfull of virgins out of gratitude, international terrorism has evolved into a well-trained force of commandos who are able to fight a guerrilla war in major cities. These commandos had been planning the terrorist attacks with military precision. The recce, timing and the execution of the plans made me think of how well these bastards were trained. And every military officer will admit that one of the most difficult wars to fight is a guerrilla war in the middle of a city. Therefore, it didn’t come as a surprise to me that the regular troops needed four days to end this criminality.

It struck me as well that these bastards had chosen specific targets to find their victims. In the most “Western-looking city” of India, the symbol of the economic power which India has become, they chose a station and two luxurious hotels where they were certain to find enough Western / foreign victims as an attraction for  the media of the world, so they could become a part of history as the executioners of the “Indian 9/11″.

Now that these terrorists are becoming more and more professional, the biggest threat is that this can, and unfortunately will happen again. Anywhere, anytime.

We will have to learn to live with that threat of terrorism, whether we like it or not.

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Juval Aviv was the Israeli agent upon whom the movie “Munich” was based. He was Golda Meir’s bodyguard while she appointed him to track down and bring to justice the Palestinian terrorists who took the Israeli athletes hostage and killed them during the Munich Olympic Games in 1972. He predicted the London subway bombing on the Bill O’Reilly show on Fox News stating publicly that it would happen within a week. At that time, O’Reilly laughed and mocked him, saying that in a week he wanted him back on the show. But, unfortunately, within a week the terrorist attack had occurred.

Now for his future predictions. He predicts the next terrorist attack on the United States will occur within the next few months. Forget hijacking airplanes, because he says terrorists will NEVER try and hijack a plane again as they know the people on board will never go down quietly again. Aviv believes our airport security is a joke, that we have been reactionary rather than proactive in developing strategies that are truly effective.

For example:

1. Our airport technology is outdated. We look for metal, and the new explosives are made of plastic.
2. He talked about how some idiot tried to light his shoe on fire. Because of that, now everyone has to take off their shoes.
3. A group of idiots tried to bring aboard liquid explosives. Now we can’t bring liquids on board anymore. He says he’s waiting for some suicidal maniac to pour liquid explosive on his underwear; at which point security will have us all traveling naked. Every strategy is “reactionary”.
4. We only focus on security when people are heading to the gates. Aviv says that if a terrorist attack targets airports in the future, they will target busy times on the front end of the airport when and where people are checking in. It would be easy for someone to take two suitcases of explosives, walk up a busy check-in line, ask a person next to them to watch their bags for a minute while they go to the restroom, and then detonate the bags BEFORE security even gets involved. In Israel, security checks bags BEFORE people can even enter the airport.

Aviv says the next terrorist attack on the Western world is imminent and will involve suicide bombers and non-suicide bombers in places where large groups of people congregate (tourist attractions, sporting events, shopping malls, subways in rush hour, train stations, etc…). The attack will be characterized by simultaneous detonations around the country (terrorists like big impact), involving at least 5 to 8 cities, including rural areas. Aviv says terrorists won’t need to use suicide bombers in many of the larger cities, because at places like any big hotel, they can simply valet park a car loaded with explosives and walk away.

Aviv says all of the above is well know in intelligence circles, but the U.S. government does not want to “alarm” American citizens with the facts.

On an encouraging note, he says terrorists who want to destroy America will not use sophisticated weapons. They like to use suicide as a front-line approach. It’s cheap, it’s easy, it’s effective. After all, they have an infinite abundance of young militants more than willing to “meet their destiny”, and while doing that, taking with them as many “unbelievers” as possible.

He also says the next level of terrorists over which we should be most concerned, will not be coming from abroad, but will be “homegrown” - having attended and been educated in our own schools and universities.

I remember while following the “Captain’s course” in the Belgian army in the early nineties, one of our collegues had made a study about how international terrorism had changed since the 1972 Olympics. This guy almost predicted literally what was going to happen later on. What Aviv is saying over here, my collegue already told us at that time.

9/11, Madrid, London… Unfortunately, we have witnessed many terrorist attacks over the past decades, and we must accept that terrorism, being the weapon of the poor, is here to stay.

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